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Storm Watch

Today, nine years after luis struck st.maarten, ivan is the fifth hurricane of the 2004 season... At 11 am ast...1500z...the center of hurricane ivan was located near latitude 9.9 north...longitude 46.0 west or about 1040 miles...1670 km...east of the windward islands.

It is very rare for a hurricane to develop across this region south of 10 north. this low latitude position should allow hurricane ivan a long and gradually turning or recurving trajectory.

Hurricane ivan...is located 1000 miles east southeast of barbados or 1040 miles...1670 km...east of the windward islands. The cyclone is racing west at 21 mph and is expected to turn more west northwest and pass through the windward islands as a mature category 3 or 4 hurricane late tuesday. All parameters seem to be in place for ivan to continue strengthening...and there is a high likelihood that this will become the season's fourth major hurricane. On the present track the eye of the cyclone will pass close or over barbados first and later over st.lucia or martinique but because of the typical track forecast errors, the center could easily pass south...or north, so somewhere from st.vincent to guadeloupe.

In any case, if the eye of the hurricane should go over st.lucia or martinique, hurricane force and tropical storm winds will be around most of the windward islands as this system will most probably become a wide hurricane. The forecast track then takes the center of the intensifying hurricane south of puerto rico wednesday and into Hispaniola by thursday.
Ref. Weather alert mail from w.caribbean-weather.net and w.caribwx.net

Watch Storm

Hurricane Ivan devastates Grenada:

Hurricane Ivan made a direct hit on Grenada with ferocious winds, killing three people as it collapsed concrete homes into piles of rubble and hurled the island's landmark red zinc roofs through the air

ref: https://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/09/08/hurr...n.ap/index.html

I have relatives who live in Grenada and this was very disturbing to read. There is currently no way of getting in touch with them at the moment so we will have to wait until communication lines are reopened and check in. It was also reported the Prime Minister of Grenada lost his house as well, which goes to show that hurricanes don't care who you are or where you live. My prayers go out to those in Ivan's path because it seems to be the deadliest of the hurricanes so far.

Storm Watch History & Civil Business Politics

Trinidad and Tobago is going to send $10m dollars in value of food and medicine to Grenada and St. Vincent and the Grenadines. I am so happy that it did not affect so much Trinidad. It affected Tobago too.

Watch Storm

Hurricane Ivan is now only 85 miles away from Jamaica and officials are becoming worried because only 300 people are in shelters when 500,000 were asked to evacuate. They are hoping that people have gone to friends and families houses which are in mountainous regions and are not ignoring the evacuation requests. The hurricane is forecast to hit the island sometime tonight.

Watch Storm

Evacuations Ordered in Flood, Mudslide Risk Areas of Southern Calif. Ahead of Powerful Pacific Storm.

I hope all our dear forum members from this area are safe and this storm does not affect them at all.

https://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,315766,00.html

Storm Watch

MIAMI - A tropical depression has formed in the eastern Pacific Ocean, but the National Hurricane Center said there is currently no threat to land.

The storm was located about 570 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, early Friday and about 755 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico.

The depression was moving west-northwest at about 8 mph with forecasters expecting that to continue for the next day or two.

The maximum sustained winds were near 30 mph with higher gusts.

Some strengthening was forecast and the hurricane center said early Friday that the depression could become a tropical storm in the next 24 hours.

From FOX weather: https://www.foxnews.com/wires/2008Jun27/0,4...Weather,00.html

Storm Watch

A hurricane watch is in effect for parts of the U.S. Gulf Coast after Tropical Storm Karen formed in the southeastern part of the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center said.

A hurricane watch covers the area from Grand Isle, Louisiana, east to Indian Pass, Florida. A tropical storm watch is in effect from west of Grand Isle to Morgan City, Louisiana, an area that includes metropolitan New Orleans.

Karen is producing winds of 60 mph and is moving north-northwest up the Mexican coast, the hurricane center said. It has a high chance -- "Near 100 percent" -- of becoming a hurricane or cyclone in the next two days, it said. Ref. CNN