Close Topic Options

Wmd - Next Expected Attack

'HIGH RISK' OF WMD ATTACK IN DECADE

The chance of an attack with a weapon of mass destruction somewhere in the world in the next 10 years runs as high as 70 percent, arms experts have predicted in a U.S. survey.
Ref. https://www.cnn.com/2005/US/06/21/wmd.threat/index.html

Attack Expected - Wmd

I don't see where they get their stats from. What variables are they using to predict the chance of another attach using WMD's? That stat is another example of using scare tactics on people. Since one hasn't been used on a country in a while, they don't have a true way to really predict what will happen or the chances of anything happening in any period of time.

Wmd - Next Expected Attack History & Civil Business Politics

It could be a sheer bluff - even without any stats, the way one hears about terrorist activitys all over the world, it seems very probable there will be a wmd attack sooner or later. It's easy to invent some figures to go with it. And 70% sounds suspiciously like 'yes, it's probable, but there's still a considerable chance it won't happen after all' - a typical line of someone who isn't sure of what to predict.

Attack Expected - Wmd

Personally, I think it's kind of a "no-brainer" that there will be an attack on some country, by some organization or other, with some type of WMD. Of course there will be. I think the expectation that Is 70% a practical figure? Perhaps, or perhaps even higher.

Hogwash. Who would actually be accountable? Only those countries/states/organizations who have no agenda for terrorist activities. Do they really think that terrorists will not find a way around this?

IMO
Roz