
Here is one economist's musings on how the very near future looks to him:
Marshall Loeb
How the boom of 2006 ended
Commentary: We should have seen it coming
By Marshall Loeb, MarketWatch
Last Update: 12:00 PM ET Oct. 9, 2005
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) -- Anybody with a bit of imagination, with a feel for the future, can construct a plausible scenario. Like this:
We should have seen it coming.
We were living beyond our means, saving absolutely nothing, spending more than we were earning -- like there was no tomorrow.
Most Americans were doing that. Worse, the government was doing it -- piling deficit upon deficit. And at the end of 2005, the total federal debt per U.S. household was more than $450,000.
But, as it always does, profligacy caught up with us. And the economy, which had been growing at a comfortable 3 to 4% rate for many years, came crashing down last year, in 2006.
How did it happen? What was the trigger? What lessons were to be learned?
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Personally, I don't think he answers his own questions there; however, he does ask some interesting questions, and covers a few things that are definitely troubling. Unfortunately, as with most worst-case scenarios, the questions often are not asked until after the crash....
International Level: Ambassador / Political Participation: 595 59.5%
Well, the problem is that people have been living like this for years. Remember we just came out of recession a couple years ago. Its not like this has been a booming decade, life has been hard. I don't see the "boom" ending because I don't believe that a boom has taken place. Companies are still down sizing and people are still being laid off, even if at a slower rate than two years ago. People will always predict the end because we will always live like there is no ttomorrow I personally feel the best way to handle this is to save and live frugally. I save for retirement with automatic withdrawals no matter what. That way I will have plenty when its time to retire, and I don't count social security at all.